La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49fb5ef9b60b638bfe8a2ae48b6bcc601417a0d3b4379fa0cffcfb8f115b5d01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 71c | 5,922$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.68 | 905 | 43.4%393 W · 512 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Under | 32c | 2,542$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 1,617$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.98 | 703 | 56.2%395 W · 308 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Under | 32c | 1,540$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 1,489$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.59 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 1,297$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.83 | 735 | 49.7%365 W · 370 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 18c | 1,265$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.22 | 648 | 39.5%256 W · 392 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Under | 32c | 1,225$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Over | 68c | 1,090$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 68c | 915.7$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 203 | 22.2%45 W · 158 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 895.75$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.3 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 723.61$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Over | 68c | 670.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 69c | 441.87$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 68c | 370$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 69c | 315$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 35c | 299.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 75c | 289.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 71c | 225.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 31c | 157.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 448 | 38.4%172 W · 276 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 28c | 152.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 28c | 119.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 68c | 99.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 35c | 82.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…388cbacked Under | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,635 | 51.6%844 W · 791 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…bd0bbacked Under | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 32c | 57.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 225 | 39.6%89 W · 136 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 64c | 52.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a7c9backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 44.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 180 | 62.8%113 W · 67 L | +33.1wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 69c | 44.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed Under | 32c | 43.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…963ebacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 43.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 543 | 38.5%209 W · 334 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…0341backed Over | 69c | 43.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 32c | 39.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Under | 28c | 35.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 35.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 29.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,267 | 51.3%650 W · 617 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 71c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 943 | 54.4%513 W · 430 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over | 68c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +77%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.