La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x347df066a0e75262b654b03a6540c5209a751b1559bc96d8f109a46bf9360bc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Osasunaof RC Celta de Vigo, CA Osasuna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed RC Celta de Vigo | 29c | 11,455$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 11,098$8,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.54 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CA Osasuna | 64c | 7,615$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.52 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 27c | 4,538$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.44 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 4,082$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed CA Osasuna | 66c | 3,009$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.04 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 2,801$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.32 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 1,258$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.59 | 724 | 55.8%404 W · 320 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…0f43backed CA Osasuna | 77c | 1,210$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed CA Osasuna | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CA Osasuna | 76c | 998.7$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.69 | 1,104 | 48.5%535 W · 569 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 548.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked CA Osasuna | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 30c | 357.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 301.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed RC Celta de Vigo | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CA Osasuna | 57c | 170.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked CA Osasuna | 77c | 130.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed CA Osasuna | 76c | 128.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked CA Osasuna | 77c | 111.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…acbabacked CA Osasuna | 58c | 86.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 16c | 65.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 16c | 65.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 63.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 335 | 31.3%105 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed CA Osasuna | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked CA Osasuna | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 29c | 39.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CA Osasuna | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,658 | 51.7%858 W · 800 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed CA Osasuna | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…ba2dbacked CA Osasuna | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.