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La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4155…fa41backed Over76c27,441$20,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,743.957276.4%55 W · 17 L+13.0wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under79c12,674$10,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.763030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under59c10,463$6,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.974240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under35c9,998$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,509.2612853.1%68 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over67c8,632$5,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,763.041735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9774…3497backed Under24c7,423$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,648.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+377.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x829e…339cbacked Over11c7,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick13cpaid+400%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f9…b48bbacked Under24c6,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5502100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+387.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under80c4,876$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.441,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c4,374$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.689139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a79…3b02backed Under26c4,348$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+282.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b29…bed9backed Under25c4,048$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+384.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over3c3,784$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.81250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under63c3,747$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.9111041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c2,818$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.3967839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under66c2,691$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39af…dd9dbacked Over10c2,468$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf8…8e52backed Under21c2,381$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+408.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf93…746cbacked Under21c2,381$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+408.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under65c1,945$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.74933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8346…4212backed Under21c1,905$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+408.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over79c1,890$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008262.2%51 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over79c1,890$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010263.7%65 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over80c1,876$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under79c1,796$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.312317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9b…123ebacked Over12c1,786$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+170.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,754$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.293,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under76c1,735$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.711936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Over36c1,615$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…da72backed Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over41c1,417$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.134351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over8c1,332$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007861.5%48 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over80c1,245$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902487.5%21 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbc3…6138backed Under21c1,190$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+490.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93b2…34b5backed Over45c1,174$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over1c1,026$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26988.9%8 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.50per pick39cpaid+140.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over1c1,026$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under80c1,006$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.032045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over5c989.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3620241.6%84 W · 118 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Over21c977$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.174129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x625a…f957backed Under21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+427.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under79c927.83$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under52c919.64$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.232759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Under79c823.7$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.621540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over8c816.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.716139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under80c756$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.220942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over15c723.24$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.963240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Over80c708.75$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5671957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under52c675.62$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over15c666.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a75…258abacked Under25c575.19$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.08475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick21cpaid+251.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over20c534.91$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8992443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over21c521.48$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5133531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over6c505.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.255016%8 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under75c493.87$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-71.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over6c475.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1516732.9%55 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over53c442.65$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8147740.9%195 W · 282 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over22c422.94$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.05110%0 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over22c422$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8410360.2%62 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under54c409.55$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.861656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under5c380.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.91540%2 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick3cpaid+1,022.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c338.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0848338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over22c325.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.382114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over35c301.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-56.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under76c278.33$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.131,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over20c251.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2528447.2%134 W · 150 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under49c250.2$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.87042.9%30 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over21c242.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.951435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Over22c224.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.44250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over29c224.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7362154.4%338 W · 283 L+28.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over47c212.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.752657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5a…4063backed Over27c179.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd491…7812backed Under79c177.41$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under60c176.53$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.612846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under79c168.88$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4672455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed Under9c163.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+288.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9732…cd57backed Under9c157.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+463.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over52c155.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812931%9 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52913.8%4 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over13c133.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over65c122.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+97.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over22c118.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under54c112.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.42552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under57c108.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8551048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under55c108$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over23c107.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6616226.5%43 W · 119 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c95.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0212446%57 W · 67 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c94.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911,67443.9%735 W · 939 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.