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La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c10,720$6,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,326.5492443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under62c10,262$6,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,362.74240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under42c10,000$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over42c9,085$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,253.211,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Over40c6,517$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed Over42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c3,223$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.7767839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c3,024$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.961,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over54c2,951$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.3211041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Over41c2,600$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under55c2,459$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.185761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under59c1,763$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.0620942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0972…f1c4backed Under59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over41c1,594$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.871,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8851656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60074949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9922022.3%49 W · 171 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over40c999.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.983542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under59c932.2$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Over41c924$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.164129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c872.82$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.223,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c853.55$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.252,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under21c777.54$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2217039.4%67 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over40c766.67$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46080950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over41c694.04$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4824639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over41c599.98$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9928447.2%134 W · 150 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over41c558.93$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.189150.5%46 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under58c530.37$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.621,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…5921backed Under60c501.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31032635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c497.42$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3774350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over40c454.1$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4652152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under59c416.69$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.852268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under59c413$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.878046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Over42c399.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over44c348.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.511435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over76c284.92$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over40c276.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9219847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under18c273.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.174351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over33c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.510360.2%62 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under55c250$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1377042.9%30 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3618…b2b2backed Under60c233.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Over45c217.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.791464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c215.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.424,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1187650%38 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168955.1%49 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over41c190.68$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Under60c168.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over41c157.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.41,65851.7%858 W · 800 L-6.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Over41c144$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.961747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over29c123.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under60c119.01$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9333531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over72c116$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4811037.3%41 W · 69 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under63c112.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.63557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over57c99.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7762154.4%338 W · 283 L+28.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over38c98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.761,67443.9%735 W · 939 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under17c96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6589139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9306…bc66backed Under60c94.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under42c88.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4b…5bedbacked Under62c88.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over59c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4438144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Under62c84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over34c76.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.471127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722245.5%101 W · 121 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under60c65.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.014858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2f…9dabbacked Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-78.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under23c58.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2948338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c51.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.972455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…e9acbacked Under59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.786625.8%17 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over63c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.515450.6%78 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1c…6ee7backed Under59c41.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.69560%57 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under59c39.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.17941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Under60c38.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f7c…34e7backed Over41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed Under39c36.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b4…2329backed Over42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Over43c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked Over43c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ae0…412ebacked Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over44c30.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1495054.2%515 W · 435 L+1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…9085backed Under59c27.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6b…c045backed Over52c26.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe2b…de68backed Under59c26.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154161%25 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under60c19.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6356538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under68c18.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3117841.6%74 W · 104 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under66c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d3…a568backed Under60c16.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.