La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x336f5341ee0225793b0d6c274322e1840824fc3107bad168465fab3898188f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,457,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,455,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,457,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 48c | 1,082,311$522,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522,114.16 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…0d24backed Over | 52c | 1,070,646$556,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514,445.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 25c | 57,795$14,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,315.06 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 39,157$20,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,007.43 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Under | 48c | 37,319$17,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,913 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 25,471$12,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,883.98 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 75c | 19,683$14,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Under | 47c | 19,629$9,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,225.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 38c | 16,376$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 61c | 13,073$7,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.5 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 11,711$7,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.58 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 11,370$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.43 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 9,148$4,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.78 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 52c | 7,500$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.08 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 7,219$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.92 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 6,609$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.56 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Under | 57c | 6,523$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 6,363$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.12 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 5,958$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.54 | 205 | 33.7%69 W · 136 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 5,534$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.27 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…3574backed Under | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 50c | 4,392$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.76 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 51c | 3,826$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.26 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Over | 50c | 3,798$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 3,611$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.29 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Under | 38c | 3,535$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 52c | 3,485$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 3,341$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 1c | 3,306$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Over | 48c | 3,097$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…7f51backed Over | 51c | 3,089$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Over | 53c | 2,834$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 2,742$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.89 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.93 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 2,203$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.35 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 1,936$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.72 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 57c | 1,760$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 74c | 1,697$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.79 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8d…7367backed Under | 49c | 1,617$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 49c | 1,602$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.07 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 50cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 1,572$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.48 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 52c | 1,479$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 56c | 1,433$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 52c | 1,354$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 59c | 1,142$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.77 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Under | 49c | 1,133$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 45c | 1,092$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.7 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 52c | 1,066$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 64c | 1,043$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 1,016$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.84 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…acb2backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 47c | 999.96$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.98 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 947.92$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.69 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 43c | 895.77$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…d109backed Over | 50c | 835.88$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over | 50c | 769.22$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.61 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Over | 60c | 716.67$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 35c | 681.8$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.06 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Over | 54c | 661.96$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 634.37$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 53c | 623.4$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 43c | 621$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 55c | 610.15$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b2…4d4cbacked Over | 50c | 591.1$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 551$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.05 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 19c | 550.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 55c | 542.48$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…fd7fbacked Under | 49c | 476.16$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Under | 52c | 430$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 422.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 52c | 363.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…115cbacked Over | 50c | 351$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 339.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 448 | 40.4%181 W · 267 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 333.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 329.52$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 51c | 316.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 66c | 272.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 63cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 37c | 265.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 52c | 262.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 58c | 259.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.