TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,015 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c4,975$93 inLost-$92.633,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over16c2,951$460 inLost-$459.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over19c2,505$469 inLost-$469.171,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under76c1,313$999 inWon+$313.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under79c651$514 inWon+$136.7114150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over24c376.16$90 inLost-$90.2850949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over10c150.9$15 inLost-$15.0943250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66db…370fbacked Over25c120$30 inLost-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e9…e991backed Under79c119.08$94 inWon+$25.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over26c76.92$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under76c65.79$50 inWon+$15.793479.4%27 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under75c46$35 inWon+$11.513059.2%77 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under74c39.86$30 inWon+$10.339446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.