TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,112 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…cf16backed Under35c6,440$2,281 inLost-$2,281.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over63c5,892$3,712 inWon+$2,180.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under18c2,108$376 inLost-$376.171,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under37c1,398$520 inLost-$520.3343250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under20c861.2$172 inLost-$172.2413842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under19c814.11$153 inLost-$153.1549252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c684.25$163 inLost-$1631,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2390…a15fbacked Over80c625$500 inWon+$125366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869a…5a78backed Over78c606.48$472 inWon+$134.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…0c67backed Over80c525.56$420 inWon+$105.113100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over71c500$355 inWon+$1453663.9%23 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…1f23backed Over80c405.34$323 inWon+$82.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon+$122.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under24c312.01$74 inLost-$73.6841239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x595f…9224backed Over80c235.64$189 inWon+$47.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over77c222$171 inWon+$50.586952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under21c105.37$22 inLost-$21.81,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked Under18c99.99$18 inLost-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over79c70.82$56 inWon+$14.9444840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Under27c69$19 inLost-$18.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over77c64.94$50 inWon+$14.943479.4%27 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Over76c64.47$49 inWon+$15.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over69c54$37 inWon+$16.742070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Under30c38$11 inLost-$11.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Over62c31$19 inWon+$11.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+150.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon+$5.322281.8%18 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over80c25$20 inWon+$511450%57 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.