TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes54c46,706$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,706.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+83.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No46c11,606$5,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,338.889455.3%52 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c9,807$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.043,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes53c8,655$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.9110848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No50c8,240$4,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,112.0815151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No48c6,243$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed No47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes50c5,603$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed No47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed No47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No47c4,388$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04165356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No46c4,383$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.183345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed No47c3,607$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes54c3,233$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.0714150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No46c3,011$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c2,936$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.431,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c2,500$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.821,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes54c2,068$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.711942.9%51 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No47c2,035$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.0713842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92026147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c1,676$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.982,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c1,557$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.451,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…20debacked No47c1,393$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Yes54c1,295$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes52c1,182$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.095952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes53c1,111$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+439.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46049252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46012124%29 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Yes52c961.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No59c874.23$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5625033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c768.53$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.371,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes38c759$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.513647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Yes54c552.91$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Yes52c438.54$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.52867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c434.06$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7844840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No47c433.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.984645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No46c417.11$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1518745.5%85 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No39c321.36$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7941239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No59c306.05$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.123345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16216845.8%77 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes46c299.59$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5914643.2%63 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No47c281.09$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1128846.5%134 W · 154 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.783557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea3…c245backed Yes54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes36c265.53$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.949823.5%23 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No26c242.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.498239%32 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No48c229.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.594546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes40c225.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.252634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fae…a03abacked No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a3…7a5abacked Yes54c201.43$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943941%16 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed8e…0a51backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7498…8b4dbacked Yes54c180.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes56c171.78$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes53c167$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4912643.7%55 W · 71 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Yes53c118$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.46887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No46c112.06$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x70fb…dd37backed Yes55c109.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed No47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked No47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18e…8038backed Yes54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710149.5%50 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.4wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-62.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4516543%71 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes54c99.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.781070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48dd…98cebacked No51c98.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick53cpaid-75.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes47c93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.178444%37 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes54c88.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.932763%17 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e06…362cbacked No52c87.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed No47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1034…dc22backed Yes53c84.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.882948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Yes53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046f…28debacked Yes54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No46c73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.471,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e2…45e4backed No48c66.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a4…8d2ebacked Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c66.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4869350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes49c64.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3616541.2%68 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7fc…b780backed Yes54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c64.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.521,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked No47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes41c63.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2159855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No62c62.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No47c53.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521554%116 W · 99 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24a…5327backed No48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No57c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6446040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.