TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,002 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Over33c18,919$6,243 inLost-$6,243.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed Under67c6,000$4,020 inWon+$1,980633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under77c5,421$4,168 inWon+$1,252.811,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under71c3,542$2,530 inWon+$1,011.811741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86eb…6566backed Over33c2,642$878 inLost-$878366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under67c2,135$1,430 inWon+$704.551040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c1,489$998 inWon+$491.373,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under73c1,164$850 inWon+$314.4120743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under78c1,102$856 inWon+$245.661,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e14…5169backed Under70c609.13$426 inWon+$182.84771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over26c452.71$117 inLost-$116.8625033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over20c350$70 inLost-$7084939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over24c270.83$65 inLost-$6562258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Over20c165.98$34 inLost-$33.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Over32c164.3$53 inLost-$52.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under76c152.82$117 inWon+$35.933345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe212…0409backed Over34c113.35$39 inLost-$38.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over20c87$18 inLost-$17.5514150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over35c74.29$26 inLost-$265824.1%14 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over33c57$19 inLost-$18.8143250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cd…a6e2backed Over20c50$10 inLost-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.