La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d723adaba83a16e5c62210bcddc907abcdb68610c3db2e4b2ca2b166e73f4ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 12c | 23,775$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.44 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 11c | 12,616$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.21 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 79c | 5,492$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.35 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 3,094$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.13 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 2,663$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 12c | 2,577$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 13c | 2,540$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.06 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 13c | 2,452$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Under | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 11c | 1,911$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 13c | 1,787$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.4 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 12c | 1,755$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 1,560$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 80c | 1,410$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.43 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 12c | 1,069$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 11c | 823.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Under | 11c | 515$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 10c | 513.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 13c | 512$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…2babbacked Over | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 19c | 392.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Under | 11c | 355$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed Under | 14c | 281.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 78c | 221.53$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 13c | 221.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…4e60backed Over | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 12c | 159.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 11c | 114.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Under | 19c | 109.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 71c | 98.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…f9e1backed Over | 69c | 85.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Under | 15c | 81.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 23c | 64.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 23c | 64.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 21c | 60.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 24c | 41.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…a0b1backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.