La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91a2bce15ea574d63aefd21ddadc45094afac567f633967731c427d00090bb46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 5,560$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.65 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Under | 50c | 3,257$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 3,103$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.7 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 68c | 2,372$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…1623backed Under | 52c | 1,384$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 1,240$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.29 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 952.9$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.06 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 861.78$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.47 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 848.69$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.41 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…d109backed Over | 53c | 824.07$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 53c | 736.96$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 8c | 711.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 45c | 670.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 14c | 490.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.79 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 50c | 332.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 205 | 33.7%69 W · 136 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 313.38$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 310.12$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 69c | 304.32$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Over | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Under | 54c | 284.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 281.05$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 233.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 48c | 203.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Over | 51c | 194.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 64c | 167.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 36c | 164.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 48c | 153$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 47c | 84.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed Under | 59c | 78.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…c8bfbacked Over | 51c | 63.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +225.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603b…5339backed Over | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…dbd6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 51c | 46.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 44.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 45c | 34.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 34.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Under | 50c | 28.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 50c | 26.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 25.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 50c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 19.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 76c | 15.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.