TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8718…5040backed Under62c3,244$2,000 inLost-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c1,788$937 inWon+$851.113,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c1,788$466 inLost-$465.751,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under14c1,648$231 inLost-$230.776142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over42c1,362$578 inWon+$784.261741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under53c814.24$435 inLost-$434.725033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon+$276.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under19c515$98 inLost-$97.8514150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over58c396.55$230 inWon+$166.553855.3%21 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over58c336.28$195 inWon+$141.244367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under5c315$16 inLost-$15.7584939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under70c181$126 inLost-$126.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over30c153.64$46 inWon+$107.5511046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under70c149.64$105 inLost-$104.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3648…9cf7backed Over52c139.44$73 inWon+$66.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over44c139.01$61 inWon+$77.852466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over28c100$28 inWon+$721850%9 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fc…2b03backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over72c81.77$59 inWon+$22.910550.5%53 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c75$36 inWon+$3942558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over45c70.95$32 inWon+$39.3611450%57 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over66c60$39 inWon+$20.68241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5e…c32abacked Over76c54.38$41 inWon+$13.09560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Over50c54$27 inWon+$271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69e…75d7backed Under50c54$27 inLost-$2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over30c53$16 inWon+$37.18239%32 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over45c45.45$20 inWon+$252369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over46c43.7$20 inWon+$23.73857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon+$21.677753.2%41 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over37c40.54$15 inWon+$25.54825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under70c30.2$21 inLost-$21.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over52c22$11 inWon+$10.5614643.2%63 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over52c22$11 inWon+$10.6616541.2%68 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over63c18.15$11 inWon+$6.84346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.