TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under64c29,376$18,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,643.543234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over18c27,862$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.341741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over10c20,604$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.6984144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over28c15,358$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.6743250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over16c14,482$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.3715236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over7c11,374$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.051020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over13c7,811$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.6718745.5%85 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c7,444$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.313,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Over0c4,768$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c4,422$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.561,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over46c4,342$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.592259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over7c3,991$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.441040%4 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick9cpaid+327.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over17c3,858$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.8450949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ab…c236backed Over22c3,205$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over21c3,015$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.4916541.2%68 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over35c2,719$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over25c2,645$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.251650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over13c2,485$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c2,304$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.3512643.7%55 W · 71 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under57c2,255$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.521435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over62c2,169$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-71.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Over27c2,084$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.161735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over44c1,944$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under57c1,730$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over21c1,697$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.843132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c1,625$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9725033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over61c1,609$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.26837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over22c1,525$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.7641239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over26c1,387$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.292466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under37c1,322$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over13c1,275$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7634044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over23c1,251$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2784939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over31c1,207$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.252548%12 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over24c1,201$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.546040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over5c1,158$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.752152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under71c1,050$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.016361.9%39 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under39c1,034$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.491118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over41c1,034$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.83156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-84.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c978.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.711513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-80%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c879.83$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1710550.5%53 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over13c877.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2869350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over16c819.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.664334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3689…09aabacked Over12c814.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over5c697.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.113345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x024b…64acbacked Over14c681.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under27c594.37$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.571936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over39c576.93$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.831346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over27c550.22$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7721439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over51c543.3$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5322653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under35c471.25$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.66933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over37c465$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.521921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over26c452$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.593243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under39c414.07$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.351435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Over40c378.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.63837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under48c376.65$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.014117.1%7 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over27c363.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under50c362.28$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.961040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over20c348.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.048444%37 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over22c309.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over41c309.49$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under39c297.16$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1719042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over20c290$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.661032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over38c284.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1350%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over14c270.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.931216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-75.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007850%39 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over24c252.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5111450%57 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over44c241.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.371546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over13c240.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.944,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over17c237.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8245949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…fd9fbacked Over48c229.05$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over17c202.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.53650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over16c199.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.243941%16 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Over17c194.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over7c186.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.223345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under74c186.17$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.811,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over18c185.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.433228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Over16c185.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over14c176$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under57c171.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over13c165.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5111942.9%51 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under48c165.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Over17c164.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over13c158.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over49c140$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0614643.2%63 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.64450%22 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over16c139.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227753.2%41 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under69c130.59$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.844257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Under73c127.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under74c122.08$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51540%6 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+78.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over44c112.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over46c108.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over26c104.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.974334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157052.9%37 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21850%9 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8d…8cdcbacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under52c95.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdec…7ad6backed Over17c86.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.