La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ba9769b6a20f6083d75490d0fb47defcf4b02a235be52d5b78cd84523b90bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 36c | 70,583$25,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,178.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 59c | 21,444$12,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,787.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 20,618$8,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,009.85 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Over | 54c | 17,318$9,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,942.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 15,475$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.81 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…9fc9backed Under | 69c | 9,326$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 1c | 6,742$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 6,013$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.82 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 33c | 5,865$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 4,440$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.89 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 3,874$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.66 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 67c | 3,705$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed Under | 68c | 2,920$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Over | 32c | 2,636$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Over | 60c | 2,542$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Under | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 46c | 1,256$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.17 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Over | 55c | 1,229$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 1,163$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.48 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 48c | 1,074$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 59c | 1,008$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 68c | 1,002$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 68c | 996.65$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.35 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Over | 27c | 996.3$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…acb2backed Over | 24c | 863.31$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Under | 39c | 839.62$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 35c | 759.22$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.89 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 33c | 756.44$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 205 | 33.7%69 W · 136 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 33c | 649.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 4c | 561.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 9c | 456.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 78c | 385.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 69c | 380$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.76 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 67c | 348.52$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 30c | 330.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Over | 33c | 266$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 50c | 250.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 35c | 241.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 30c | 236.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 32c | 232$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 10c | 212.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +327.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 68c | 201.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 188.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…3689backed Under | 71c | 182.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…bdabbacked Under | 72c | 176.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3689…09aabacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Over | 33c | 145.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 125.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 114.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Under | 68c | 111$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 31c | 111$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 51c | 109$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 35c | 102.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Over | 61c | 98.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 69c | 95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 70c | 91.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 87.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 55c | 81.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Under | 35c | 81.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…d580backed Over | 27c | 71.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 74c | 67.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Over | 33c | 66.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 46c | 66.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…f8b9backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…8d2ebacked Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 77c | 57.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 42c | 56.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…640bbacked Under | 49c | 54.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaad…c305backed Under | 36c | 53.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 39c | 53.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4771backed Over | 32c | 51.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.