TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under26c53,739$13,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,864.113234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under29c12,203$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4881921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under26c9,414$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.752213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over74c8,971$6,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.2614150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c8,396$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.4884144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under27c8,147$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.241020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under14c7,276$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c7,193$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.853,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Over71c7,042$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under28c6,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.979445.7%43 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c5,882$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.3565356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over71c3,875$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.0743250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under29c3,852$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.082931%9 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over76c3,124$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4257839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304117.1%7 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under34c2,950$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under28c2,809$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.3213842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over72c2,522$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.1310848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over66c2,461$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.741,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under15c2,111$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.162142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64026147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over73c1,717$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.441,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under27c1,581$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.111,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Under30c1,488$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.391136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over68c1,430$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.743863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over67c1,240$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.374,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387f…970bbacked Over71c1,199$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Under29c1,138$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over68c1,089$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.567941.8%33 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545646.4%26 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2afa…2babbacked Over70c911.61$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over73c883.1$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.181,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under32c865.66$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.261741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under13c831.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0325033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90cf…6cc2backed Over74c770.27$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over47c750$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Under33c749.13$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2926645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over47c700.01$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.012466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under31c686.02$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.466142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over48c560$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.28239%32 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over69c453.89$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4418745.5%85 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c452.51$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3844840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…3050backed Over74c437.54$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c424.28$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1941239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002969%20 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10813362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10813062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812358.5%72 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over71c376.61$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.222,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…481bbacked Over75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over68c304.87$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.561560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7113252.3%69 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over71c263.75$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7820533.7%69 W · 136 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Over64c259$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.15887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over71c241.44$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.021030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-57.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under51c205.26$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.641127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583941%16 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548055%44 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Over66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Under31c179.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.711553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over68c175$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1429…1cd8backed Over69c159.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Over47c158$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.741735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under44c152.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.41per pick63cpaid-65.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over66c150.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce20…fa07backed Over71c140.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under32c120.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.549252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under42c115.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under31c114.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.659237%34 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under40c114.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.632035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under40c114.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.631520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under46c108.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.012128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1834044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Under54c103.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Under35c102.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3819…6d2dbacked Over74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.353100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…2c2cbacked Under40c101.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.4wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-62.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3416543%71 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over47c98.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.052070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under40c92.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.891844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under32c82.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.091850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.88241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69258.7%54 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under30c78.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.687142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under35c77.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.