World Politics · resolved market
Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6336991c609da9f5ca97082c75adbe64937da006fd7412aa1795918b9be2f3ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 0c | 55,475$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…a124backed Yes | 58c | 15,120$8,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…5b49backed No | 42c | 15,120$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,350.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 39c | 6,178$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.5 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…d7e2backed Yes | 62c | 4,817$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 67c | 4,340$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 5c | 2,820$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…ce0bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,680$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed No | 44c | 1,350$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…5614backed Yes | 65c | 1,017$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…3c38backed No | 30c | 1,009$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed Yes | 61c | 840.26$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 2c | 692.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…f0a8backed No | 43c | 643.74$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 56c | 627.05$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 25c | 599.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…eb9cbacked Yes | 58c | 586.57$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbf…caaebacked No | 45c | 574$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…7af1backed Yes | 55c | 574$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…4deabacked No | 44c | 572$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…a7c8backed Yes | 56c | 572$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…c3cbbacked No | 31c | 564.86$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 48c | 551.15$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.6 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…36bebacked No | 4c | 528.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 53c | 509.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.86 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Yes | 61c | 500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2523backed Yes | 55c | 497.45$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Yes | 59c | 494.82$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…b019backed No | 41c | 472.46$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…a903backed No | 57c | 472.43$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 61c | 429.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Yes | 50c | 419.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…228ebacked Yes | 51c | 408.18$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…c283backed No | 35c | 369.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…850abacked No | 18c | 363.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 20c | 356.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 76c | 346.76$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…2971backed Yes | 73c | 339.23$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ab65backed Yes | 61c | 331.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b4…d8bbbacked No | 22c | 318.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2de…90b6backed No | 46c | 314.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…6c8ebacked No | 52c | 271.26$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 13c | 242.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c449backed Yes | 75c | 221.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…9b60backed No | 19c | 210.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 51c | 203.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc3…b17bbacked No | 41c | 193.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…f8a3backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…ad8fbacked Yes | 60c | 170.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…6beebacked No | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…bdbabacked Yes | 61c | 164.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 62c | 150.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 17c | 127.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 52c | 114.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 11c | 113.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…a564backed No | 26c | 111.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…2220backed No | 15c | 110.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed No | 50c | 107.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc7…62bebacked Yes | 59c | 101.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…62e0backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +267.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1836…bbadbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…41aabacked No | 45c | 99.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…27a3backed Yes | 58c | 99.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…9879backed Yes | 58c | 99.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…1787backed No | 43c | 98.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc77…aee5backed No | 43c | 98.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…f302backed No | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7261…cc0bbacked Yes | 61c | 97.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…0b1ebacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 51c | 93.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…36f9backed No | 56c | 89.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…4b67backed No | 37c | 86.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…dfcabacked No | 56c | 79.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…a907backed Yes | 36c | 78.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a14…8476backed No | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…3cfebacked No | 51c | 50.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…dd52backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…0d9cbacked Yes | 60c | 44.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1283…2471backed No | 51c | 37.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…9579backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…6bd7backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…67bcbacked Yes | 58c | 27.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 56c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…fd9ebacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…d944backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.