TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Predators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Predatorsof Sabres, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Predators48c2,034$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.2592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Predators54c1,773$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Sabres53c1,675$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88823761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Predators53c1,595$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.871,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sabres50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc3…3097backed Sabres49c991.81$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Sabres53c947.17$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Predators50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37513756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Sabres20c591.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Predators51c505.84$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.929553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Sabres7c501.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.113243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5da4…143bbacked Sabres46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9a…062fbacked Predators53c494.34$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.341250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Sabres45c429.52$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.913148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres43c400.03$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.011,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Sabres8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Predators52c327$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.969251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Predators55c324.74$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1322842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Predators73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Predators52c284.24$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Sabres42c224.32$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Sabres49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Predators54c196.39$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators61c173.88$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.123,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1444…a16cbacked Sabres50c141$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb4…44ebbacked Predators50c141$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Predators53c104.79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe8…ae5bbacked Sabres49c104.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…b88abacked Predators53c103.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres49c102.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Sabres49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b03…b2f0backed Predators53c92.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09e0…ba5bbacked Sabres49c92.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.111050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d0…605dbacked Sabres49c90.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a6…b8f6backed Predators53c85.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a0d…4d64backed Predators50c82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x259c…1766backed Sabres50c82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e08…32f0backed Predators50c71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…f54bbacked Sabres50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Sabres42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dc5…4621backed Predators58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ba…dc89backed Sabres42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0a…ece2backed Sabres45c62.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+65.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Sabres47c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0616437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…60e0backed Predators50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…0afdbacked Sabres50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6d…b50abacked Predators50c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…2229backed Predators57c52.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.71850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…9dd9backed Sabres50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c22…e09abacked Sabres50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a01…7a30backed Predators50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Sabres49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1f…9f1abacked Predators56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0127…7addbacked Sabres44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ab…701bbacked Sabres48c45.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Sabres45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5597…f3c8backed Sabres42c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d7…2f30backed Predators58c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres30c41.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeacc…d799backed Predators56c41.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x419a…0fbebacked Sabres43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed Predators51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63650%18 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3845…0513backed Predators58c39.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Sabres45c38.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.521040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cd…d48dbacked Predators47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8179…3e2fbacked Sabres43c37.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d17…e4f5backed Predators57c37.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d7…b37bbacked Predators57c37.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x188b…8ef3backed Predators50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda17…2f37backed Sabres50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c30…fdd6backed Predators57c36.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d8…52d7backed Sabres43c35.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f58…7ebebacked Predators56c35.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…cfe3backed Sabres45c35.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f34…3bd9backed Predators57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5bd…089ebacked Predators52c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a83…29fbbacked Predators57c33.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b3…ac38backed Predators52c33.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…c2f7backed Sabres53c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…ff25backed Predators52c32.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4689…4d8abacked Predators57c32.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb118…21bfbacked Sabres43c32.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fc…a203backed Sabres48c32.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Predators51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x978a…6da5backed Predators58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe6…decabacked Sabres43c29.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Predators52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8515549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…deaabacked Predators57c28.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…6da7backed Sabres43c28.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ee…3756backed Sabres44c28.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1863…7a16backed Predators57c28.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7461…8668backed Sabres43c28.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd155…9c79backed Sabres43c27.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…5b63backed Predators52c27.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a0…2253backed Sabres50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b82…64bcbacked Sabres50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a63…8c43backed Predators58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd8…6d0cbacked Predators50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.