NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6195a564a93aec537e5dcf018131f688da4937d55de79949b7d408c87b0824f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 11c | 15,388$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.02 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 10,986$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.07 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 2c | 9,818$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 9,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 28c | 8,065$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.16 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 76c | 5,725$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.53 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pacers | 4c | 5,267$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pacers | 26c | 4,821$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.47 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 24c | 4,171$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.01 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Pacers | 6c | 4,146$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.74 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pacers | 2c | 3,550$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b8adbacked Pacers | 25c | 3,400$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Pacers | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers | 1c | 2,933$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Cavaliers | 73c | 2,825$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.18 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…7a53backed Cavaliers | 75c | 2,629$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…3694backed Pacers | 26c | 2,577$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…fba1backed Pacers | 29c | 2,493$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…2ad9backed Pacers | 26c | 2,404$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 26c | 2,403$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.89 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers | 6c | 2,159$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Cavaliers | 75c | 2,100$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.72 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Pacers | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Pacers | 10c | 1,885$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,707$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.89 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,701$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.35 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f352backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…4544backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Pacers | 27c | 1,699$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,635$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.1 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,599$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Pacers | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278e…c0c4backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,301$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.92 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…54aebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,158$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 27c | 1,091$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…ba90backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ef…a531backed Pacers | 27c | 1,007$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,007$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pacers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Pacers | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pacers | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…60ddbacked Pacers | 28c | 1,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Pacers | 14c | 899.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Pacers | 11c | 898.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 848.28$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.75 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 837.91$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Pacers | 25c | 835$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cavaliers | 70c | 820$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers | 17c | 800$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…857ebacked Cavaliers | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Pacers | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Pacers | 26c | 799.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pacers | 27c | 790$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Cavaliers | 70c | 786.82$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Cavaliers | 75c | 777$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Cavaliers | 80c | 761.88$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 6c | 757.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pacers | 25c | 740$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…70aabacked Cavaliers | 75c | 720.57$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Pacers | 21c | 682.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pacers | 30c | 677.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Pacers | 14c | 632.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 75c | 630$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 26c | 629.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pacers | 2c | 629.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers | 27c | 621.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Pacers | 26c | 602.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…8999backed Pacers | 26c | 588.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…6c66backed Cavaliers | 75c | 586.63$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…c8aebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 576$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Pacers | 19c | 566.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pacers | 32c | 556.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Cavaliers | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Pacers | 12c | 526.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Cavaliers | 74c | 501$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Pacers | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Pacers | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Cavaliers | 79c | 470.08$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pacers | 24c | 456.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Cavaliers | 75c | 451.51$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pacers | 14c | 439.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…cfb2backed Pacers | 7c | 437.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 75c | 427.91$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Pacers | 26c | 423.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 27c | 409.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pacers | 31c | 408.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Pacers | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.