World Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say Ukraine 10+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b76a85e9d161f6bc1d1cc8e2ab83c1c0643f8d24d544d65df3f771d51137dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 43c | 486.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.41 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 46c | 376.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 49c | 345.01$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked No | 4c | 306.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 58c | 279.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.55 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Yes | 61c | 199.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…69e9backed No | 65c | 195$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…7dd2backed Yes | 66c | 185.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…677fbacked Yes | 35c | 169$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 33c | 155.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked No | 64c | 155.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…b3b2backed No | 65c | 144$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…6e9cbacked Yes | 35c | 141$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40e…ca83backed No | 53c | 121$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 101$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 50c | 67.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…cf8fbacked No | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 52c | 61.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 30c | 56.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 66c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8440…b37abacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…e0f6backed Yes | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…ec79backed Yes | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8759…fd58backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…51cbbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…a58abacked Yes | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…d533backed No | 40c | 36.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…3f90backed Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…31bfbacked No | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…b3c1backed Yes | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…2a53backed No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…4786backed Yes | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…bff4backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6386…af95backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…b7cfbacked Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…80b7backed No | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 67c | 25.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…8494backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…9703backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…1bdbbacked Yes | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…5a0cbacked No | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say Ukraine 10+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?this page
- Will Donald Trump say AI or Artificial Intelligence during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Beautiful 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Climate during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Crypto or Bitcoin during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Drone during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Egg during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Elon during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Gaza during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Germany during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Gold during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Hell 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Million 15+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Mineral during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say NATO 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Pay 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Pond during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Putin 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Tariff 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say UK or United Kingdom 15+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say US or United States 15+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Zelensky 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.