World Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say US or United States 15+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb987e03128e7b657332ffbaec10e818f4ec4076108005cfee450190952aa5c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 75c | 460$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 269.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…22aebacked Yes | 26c | 202$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 72c | 172$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ec2dbacked Yes | 26c | 156$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…d803backed No | 74c | 146$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 76c | 132.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 70c | 128.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…d171backed Yes | 26c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…10bfbacked No | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…9314backed No | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…eda8backed Yes | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf66…5a2dbacked Yes | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…afffbacked No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…4560backed Yes | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 74c | 40.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed No | 73c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…6c61backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…7fffbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…93a1backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…d68ebacked No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f45backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…59a3backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…3afebacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8fddbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…b9d7backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…a2a8backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…1e32backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf128…ed0abacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say US or United States 15+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?this page
- Will Donald Trump say AI or Artificial Intelligence during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Beautiful 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Climate during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Crypto or Bitcoin during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Drone during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Egg during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Elon during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Gaza during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Germany during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Gold during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Hell 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Million 15+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Mineral during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say NATO 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Pay 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Pond during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Putin 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Tariff 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say UK or United Kingdom 15+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?No won
- Will Donald Trump say Ukraine 10+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say Zelensky 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.