TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Donald Trump say Climate during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,180 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b9f…e857backed Yes34c196$67 inLost-$66.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked No76c148$112 inWon+$35.528337.3%31 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe1…9430backed Yes25c130$33 inLost-$32.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes27c120$32 inLost-$32.321,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes23c117.99$28 inLost-$27.693625%9 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…f54bbacked No66c111$73 inWon+$37.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed No69c100$69 inWon+$313444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8f…140abacked No75c80$60 inWon+$202100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8662…bac0backed No75c72$54 inWon+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No77c70$54 inWon+$16.12846.4%13 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb8…f565backed Yes24c66$16 inLost-$15.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes37c55$20 inLost-$20.283020%6 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes38c50$19 inLost-$196920.3%14 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f0…e173backed Yes24c50$12 inLost-$12425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…1d1cbacked No75c38$29 inWon+$9.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No67c30$20 inWon+$1012056.7%68 W · 52 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No80c30$24 inWon+$618036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a7…3775backed No76c26$20 inWon+$6.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8e…7dedbacked No76c23$17 inWon+$5.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed No62c22$14 inWon+$8.361947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7962…8a8ebacked No76c21$16 inWon+$5.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e5…b8b4backed No76c21$16 inWon+$5.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdaf…c02dbacked No76c20$15 inWon+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…0459backed No76c19$14 inWon+$4.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.