Will Donald Trump say Putin 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf857ff7d1da7722aedf47c766fb1b53fe3104dccfcc35ad9b79d255a720ed17

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,805 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x827b…01cebacked No	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+104%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed No	37c	1,107$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.71	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes	68c	859.42$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.8	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+112.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked No	14c	735$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.7	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked No	58c	429.82$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed No	18c	202$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.01	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	42c	200$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	68c	200$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.61	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+30%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed No	36c	159.4$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.81	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	52c	140$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.05	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes	52c	134.6$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.79	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0362…9661backed Yes	58c	113.99$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+4.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	69	27.5%19 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2880…fa70backed Yes	47c	65.65$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.95	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes	69c	59.06$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.11	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.6wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+118%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes	39c	53.82$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.83	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed No	51c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-5.7wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No	49c	49.81$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.41	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	43c	46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.22	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x126f…7137backed No	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x095f…41b7backed Yes	36c	39.06$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9693…8e80backed No	64c	39.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.41per pick	66cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked No	47c	38.03$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x041c…88c5backed No	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Donald Trump say Putin 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event