TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Donald Trump say Gold during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,927 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes26c287$74 inLost-$73.554228.6%12 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked No74c226$167 inWon+$59.398337.3%31 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes20c200$40 inLost-$4054934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes24c110$26 inLost-$26.47944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1dc…ac27backed Yes27c101$27 inLost-$27.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes27c96$26 inLost-$25.791,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed No75c65$49 inWon+$16.251947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aaa…30b5backed Yes27c60$16 inLost-$16.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x546d…15b8backed Yes27c59$16 inLost-$15.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…ecb3backed Yes27c59$16 inLost-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes32c55$17 inLost-$17.354440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6342…82e5backed No73c55$40 inWon+$14.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…43fdbacked Yes28c53$15 inLost-$14.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041c…88c5backed No79c48.58$39 inWon+$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed No73c43.52$32 inWon+$11.752157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x490b…05b4backed No72c35$25 inWon+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed No79c30$24 inWon+$6.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0548…f940backed No76c25$19 inWon+$62100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de1…2e8bbacked No73c24$18 inWon+$6.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7890…89afbacked No73c24$18 inWon+$6.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fee…2937backed No73c24$18 inWon+$6.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c3…6937backed No73c23$17 inWon+$6.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…a955backed No73c22$16 inWon+$5.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa68f…ed3cbacked No76c22$17 inWon+$5.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4399…dc44backed No73c21$15 inWon+$5.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb2…7d2dbacked No76c20$15 inWon+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…7535backed No73c20$15 inWon+$5.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e4…2acbbacked No72c20$14 inWon+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e21…b8d6backed No73c20$15 inWon+$5.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4274…833abacked No73c19$14 inWon+$5.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41c…fb87backed No72c17$12 inWon+$4.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No75c15$11 inWon+$3.7512056.7%68 W · 52 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.