TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee03…3eeabacked Kings50c6,335$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.6717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Kings58c5,390$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.562650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5147…c45cbacked Utah50c4,400$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0851…5a31backed Utah50c2,981$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings54c2,515$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.5366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Utah43c1,932$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.3613756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Utah50c1,903$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings59c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Kings55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6751957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6760…2e12backed Utah45c1,497$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Utah43c1,398$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.3649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Utah45c1,366$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.3730549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah44c1,342$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.941,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah45c1,216$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.371,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Utah42c1,161$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.6210627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Utah44c1,125$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2737738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah41c1,101$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.411,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Kings58c863.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.794163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4623761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Kings54c799.85$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.9325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah44c745.28$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Kings59c684.75$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.752864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah45c414$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5d…dbd2backed Kings57c374$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a68…df2fbacked Utah43c374$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x874b…9eeebacked Utah43c319$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c47…eb9ebacked Kings57c319$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f59…de15backed Kings57c310$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc31…b1ecbacked Utah43c310$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x262c…9439backed Kings57c308$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.445100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cad…eb45backed Utah43c308$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Kings54c266.35$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.528749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings56c227.18$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Kings56c220$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.94650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d1…5407backed Utah46c216.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…af2ebacked Kings56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6218…676bbacked Kings56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Utah49c184.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5741340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcace…4fbdbacked Kings57c183.54$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.923174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6a…8dc5backed Utah45c163.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings51c153.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.143,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kings55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Utah45c142.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0211751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7903…bd65backed Utah46c139.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Utah44c135.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8129748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Kings56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.934257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a7…143bbacked Utah46c131.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.632050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b6…4da6backed Utah30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e52…ffdebacked Kings54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4c…59dfbacked Utah46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…6526backed Utah46c118$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db7…4dcdbacked Kings54c118$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c27…3873backed Kings55c118$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c25…2ac8backed Utah45c118$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55bb…452dbacked Kings55c114.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.42157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b8…743cbacked Utah46c111.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Kings56c107.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.77071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…4e95backed Utah46c107$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bdd…10d9backed Kings54c107$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa64…9f30backed Kings56c106.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Utah42c106.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29cd…15c4backed Utah46c106.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d67…311bbacked Utah46c104$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f3…4675backed Kings54c104$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Kings55c103$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6557238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Utah51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Kings54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4610546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Utah42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4227643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Utah12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf093…aadebacked Kings55c99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebe…0ac4backed Utah45c99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Utah13c95.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8183…f20abacked Kings56c93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe65…8e3bbacked Utah44c93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff70…4563backed Kings55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccde…c5c6backed Utah45c91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b4…e66abacked Kings54c91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469b…ac67backed Kings55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac38…c370backed Utah46c91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Kings54c89.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.411248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e63bbacked Kings56c88.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2422…e591backed Utah46c87.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18dc…6e79backed Utah46c86.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Kings56c83.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.935170.6%36 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc928…b4c4backed Kings56c83.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb88…66fcbacked Kings56c83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8db…d984backed Utah44c83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc782…3fc5backed Kings55c82.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0474…9255backed Utah46c82.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4290…be57backed Utah45c81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…5867backed Kings55c81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e9d…abc1backed Utah45c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e5…0e8cbacked Kings55c78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Utah42c77.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa575…b23cbacked Utah46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1270…6af8backed Kings56c76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ac…47cebacked Utah44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.