NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb44e1c37e228201b7cb91f41f1b0213a739a853eb480b8af2ca85ba11d6408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Stars, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf24…5aa8backed Stars | 51c | 19,500$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…00f6backed Oilers | 49c | 12,081$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Stars | 4c | 11,390$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.35 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 13c | 9,267$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.17 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…91debacked Oilers | 49c | 7,300$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars | 22c | 5,062$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Stars | 49c | 3,783$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.44 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Oilers | 50c | 2,059$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Oilers | 49c | 1,686$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.82 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 49c | 1,612$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.41 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Stars | 49c | 1,501$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Oilers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 15c | 1,403$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.38 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Stars | 50c | 1,074$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.37 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars | 22c | 877.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Stars | 52c | 836.41$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 49c | 606.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.56 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stars | 3c | 520.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Oilers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Oilers | 47c | 370$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 12c | 364.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 53c | 306.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…64d3backed Stars | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Stars | 50c | 276.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 31c | 262.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Stars | 5c | 249.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…8d4bbacked Stars | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…3fd9backed Oilers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…8fe3backed Oilers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Oilers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Oilers | 51c | 196.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…f192backed Stars | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…3a9bbacked Stars | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a3…6b01backed Oilers | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…5cf5backed Stars | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…88fdbacked Oilers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe38…128bbacked Stars | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…5abbbacked Oilers | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…90efbacked Oilers | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…2a65backed Stars | 48c | 178$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3348backed Oilers | 52c | 178$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Stars | 17c | 172.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ed…0f86backed Stars | 48c | 172$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Oilers | 50c | 158.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Stars | 49c | 155.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x620c…93cabacked Oilers | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053b…66d2backed Stars | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Oilers | 51c | 117.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 51c | 110.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…fd27backed Oilers | 51c | 106.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…f295backed Stars | 51c | 105.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…6c61backed Oilers | 50c | 105.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e29…21d4backed Oilers | 50c | 104.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 48c | 104.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Stars | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…051ebacked Stars | 51c | 101.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…3226backed Oilers | 51c | 101.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…7afbbacked Stars | 51c | 101.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Stars | 35c | 101.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 22c | 100.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9bd9backed Oilers | 52c | 100.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Stars | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…5d2dbacked Stars | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stars | 49c | 99.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431f…1fe9backed Oilers | 50c | 99.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…2f7cbacked Oilers | 50c | 99.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Stars | 50c | 99.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…80b5backed Stars | 52c | 98.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Stars | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…fb5cbacked Oilers | 51c | 97.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…fbb2backed Stars | 50c | 96.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e1…d656backed Oilers | 50c | 94.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…0f97backed Stars | 51c | 93.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc21…5020backed Stars | 51c | 93.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…a184backed Stars | 52c | 93.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…c249backed Oilers | 50c | 93.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…f837backed Stars | 51c | 91.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…3f38backed Stars | 51c | 91.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Stars | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…ac6dbacked Oilers | 50c | 90.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…fcb3backed Stars | 51c | 90.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…d81bbacked Oilers | 50c | 90.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…cc81backed Stars | 52c | 89.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…55eebacked Oilers | 51c | 88.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…abd8backed Stars | 22c | 88.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337f…b019backed Stars | 51c | 85.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…f506backed Oilers | 50c | 85.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…2310backed Stars | 52c | 83.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…dc97backed Stars | 51c | 82.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…e8b4backed Oilers | 51c | 79.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.