Ukraine · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Horrible" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ae6263c33910aec2296b163dcbdd1ae414ab4f253b70cffe76059762268b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb857…311ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,220$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 74c | 1,095$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…6fe5backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked Yes | 32c | 861.41$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 66c | 470.64$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 449.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…c62dbacked Yes | 34c | 446.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 68c | 424.14$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 67c | 315.84$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…839abacked Yes | 36c | 278.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…c4fabacked Yes | 10c | 274.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…1ba5backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 38c | 250$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e47backed No | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 67c | 191.43$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 178.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 18c | 159.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…c286backed No | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 23c | 127.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 66c | 125.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 71c | 113.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 112.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcadb…2df0backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…c496backed Yes | 17c | 91.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 72c | 83.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 32c | 62.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 78c | 61.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3856…c6d3backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed No | 69c | 22.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…5011backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…3c44backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f0…1071backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ab…a58fbacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Horrible" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Can you imagine" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crimea" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "DEI" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dictator" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Mineral" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "US" or "United States" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.