Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between RB Leipzig and Sporting CP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb748c903df716ab4aae31daa0f3f7054303a2f7b3e7822e03f7c9e13887cbd25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Yes | 32c | 782.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 73c | 684.24$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 9c | 652.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc9…8ee4backed No | 76c | 485.29$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 474.34$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…4c2abacked Yes | 27c | 403.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…be56backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 28c | 312$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 42c | 312$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 278.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…9f54backed No | 75c | 268$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 254.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 23c | 167.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 73c | 151.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 30c | 98.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked Yes | 18c | 79.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 74c | 73.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…7d4abacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f5…1126backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…b954backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3332…658fbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…de67backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…3dc0backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between RB Leipzig and Sporting CP end in a draw?this page
- Will RB Leipzig beat Sporting CP?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP beat RB Leipzig?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.