Champions League · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig beat Sporting CP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc38b9ce8ca57c0f5665fa35c6bdd0f08db8ad590ff9b49271b9b682a81975d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 35c | 22,763$7,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,874 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 65c | 17,596$11,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,516.63 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 63c | 7,150$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.66 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,731$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.56 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 29c | 3,654$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.35 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 14c | 2,910$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.39 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 2,754$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.9 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 1,268$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.54 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 61c | 1,190$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 65c | 1,147$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.77 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 66c | 1,116$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.09 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 39c | 795$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Yes | 62c | 713.63$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 62c | 709.47$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 64c | 661.61$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 66c | 614.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.7 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed No | 70c | 455.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 71c | 450.39$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 67c | 327.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked No | 53c | 284.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 67c | 255$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…d6a7backed Yes | 31c | 242.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…d1b8backed Yes | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.54per pick | 37cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 68c | 109.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 31c | 105.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 80$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 42c | 53.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 63c | 49.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Yes | 66c | 41.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6776…8ca2backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…a5acbacked Yes | 36c | 36.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…beedbacked No | 61c | 35.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…718fbacked Yes | 39c | 35.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4f17backed Yes | 32c | 32.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…58c5backed No | 68c | 32.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…2929backed Yes | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 66c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…25e2backed Yes | 61c | 21.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…d617backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa130…47f6backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig beat Sporting CP?this page
- Will Sporting CP beat RB Leipzig?No won
- Will the match between RB Leipzig and Sporting CP end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.