Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa96be61cf17d703f76c60c77719fe5620d5c65a3b6bdac93d6cefb4a27c7d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 12,494$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.31 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 11c | 8,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,719$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 2,585$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.34 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 2,174$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.62 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 1,702$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.95 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 47c | 1,225$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.5 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 958.25$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.29 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 894.81$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 48c | 777.08$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 49c | 665.03$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.86 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 48c | 562$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.86 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 371.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 52c | 280.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 37c | 255$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked No | 49c | 242$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…6090backed Yes | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 14c | 238$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 52c | 159.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 49c | 128.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 71c | 128$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 22c | 110.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…3f14backed Yes | 50c | 104.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 51c | 81.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Yes | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Yes | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 52c | 61.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed Yes | 52c | 55.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…8194backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 51c | 49.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 58c | 49.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Yes | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Yes | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Yes | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 49c | 30.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…ea76backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 69c | 22.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 52c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)Qairat FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.