TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over21c10,706$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.7134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c10,257$7,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.662,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under64c5,658$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Over31c5,125$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.061513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over57c5,040$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.7338043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…28e6backed Over57c3,043$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6504766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over55c2,599$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.341526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick55cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Over57c2,276$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c2,072$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9433851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over55c1,892$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.687346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under44c1,376$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under75c1,123$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7610744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under42c1,085$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.0824327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c1,055$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over58c1,035$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under43c901.48$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.8412249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Under51c715.49$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.59650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6102…7661backed Over56c702$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.121369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c676.49$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.291,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1901…21c8backed Under77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.35666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c646.6$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.1439746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over56c596.43$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3341258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under44c443.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6319150.3%96 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under69c414.29$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.294238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under46c354.35$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.358132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over22c315.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over56c296.43$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1663333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed Over56c266.07$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Over56c233.13$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Over57c226.23$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.951650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…0aa9backed Over57c201.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Under46c196$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Over57c175.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.521354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over55c145$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7544955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under43c136.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under45c123$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over55c108$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.438356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over55c108$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.421354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over57c105.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Over57c105$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.553831.6%12 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…bfffbacked Over56c101$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over56c91.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512650%13 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over56c77.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over21c74.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.676238.7%24 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over55c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.612249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under68c63.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.479556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…349cbacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Under80c58.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11a4…bbe8backed Over55c57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.352548%12 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over55c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.717855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over56c51.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.077639.5%30 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa63d…f4e8backed Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…92cbbacked Over55c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over56c44.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.191855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Under51c44.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under62c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8622356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.814352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.815651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over55c35.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7914247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over55c35.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7813352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020256.9%115 W · 87 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Under45c35.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under43c30.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6711947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Over46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under45c26.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under43c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8215657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under46c24.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.175240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab4…564fbacked Under67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+59.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over57c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510947.7%52 W · 57 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under68c19.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3212751.2%65 W · 62 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.34961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.