Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7317e7439b467b8f01a27c552ffa5ac94ce5d895701ec5d9263b3ff93d1368ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 17c | 11,151$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.43 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 34c | 3,811$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.04 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 3,529$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.55 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 33c | 3,011$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 74c | 1,149$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 1,080$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Under | 73c | 957.9$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Under | 66c | 772.4$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Under | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 66c | 444$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…b616backed Under | 69c | 374.53$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Under | 67c | 263.56$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 67c | 260$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Under | 74c | 189.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 32c | 167.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Over | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 33c | 154.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 31c | 144.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 67c | 97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 72c | 95.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 15c | 93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 33c | 87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 35c | 86.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…4683backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…1d12backed Under | 68c | 65.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…f8dcbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Under | 68c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5this page
- Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)Qairat FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.