NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca04a39d49e4d51bbf64370601bbdb31d7c4706ef9ab17ee0c4453b02314b64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 50c | 101,445$51,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,222.5 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 49c | 81,286$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,285.84 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 50c | 12,233$6,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,116.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 8,888$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.88 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 6,159$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.09 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 5,200$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Under | 51c | 4,626$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.16 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Under | 53c | 3,395$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 50c | 3,352$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.27 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 48c | 3,124$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.32 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Under | 53c | 2,879$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 2,147$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.85 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.25 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 51c | 2,004$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 1,285$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.82 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,148$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 945.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 46c | 766.53$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 650$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 51c | 619.23$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…206fbacked Under | 49c | 612$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 49c | 604$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 586$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 48c | 499.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 51c | 476.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…dde7backed Over | 51c | 283.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 275$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 274$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…328dbacked Over | 52c | 259.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…0d28backed Over | 51c | 209.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 195.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 184.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 51c | 173.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Over | 48c | 138.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Over | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…a510backed Under | 54c | 117$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under | 50c | 109.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 52c | 98.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…f4e8backed Over | 50c | 92.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Under | 50c | 80.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…d321backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 79.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -14.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…603fbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Over | 51c | 59.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…e9ecbacked Over | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 50c | 47.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…d360backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs won
- Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.