Champions League · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc7a6b8d488cb8415b4528cec97931133a27c95a912bc60cb348bedcb108c241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 60c | 1,272$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 1,104$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.89 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 61c | 941.33$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.27 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 30c | 876.35$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 40c | 859.37$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Yes | 39c | 688$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 553.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.43 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 60c | 353.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…79ddbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 61c | 269.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 60c | 255$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Yes | 38c | 225.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 8c | 176.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 38c | 158.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 38c | 157.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 61c | 147.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 61c | 147$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…bf03backed Yes | 38c | 142$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…2162backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d298backed No | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…bd98backed Yes | 38c | 97.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 60c | 75.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…d6a7backed Yes | 40c | 75.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 40c | 73.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 40c | 72.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked Yes | 38c | 67.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 38c | 59.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 68c | 52.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 67c | 42.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Yes | 38c | 39.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…123ebacked Yes | 38c | 34.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…e0b2backed No | 62c | 31.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…b8ccbacked Yes | 38c | 28.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…bd47backed No | 57c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…0c0abacked Yes | 43c | 27.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…1c40backed Yes | 39c | 25.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…a1e7backed No | 63c | 25.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…e0cfbacked No | 61c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…19d4backed No | 64c | 19.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…c412backed No | 64c | 17.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk?this page
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois?Yes won
- Will the match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Stade Brestois end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.