Champions League · resolved market
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4359769c0e36f1a15d42e7ac45aeca402526467da3b8d9c7f44cdb9fb51fee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 67c | 892.23$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.79 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 10c | 796.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 33c | 644.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.59 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 69c | 300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 77c | 287.53$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 65c | 248.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed No | 23c | 219.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Yes | 35c | 216.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 77c | 199.13$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 40c | 169.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed Yes | 67c | 167$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 64c | 164.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Yes | 33c | 154.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…bb67backed No | 69c | 144.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 30c | 129.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 66c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 67c | 70.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…c3cdbacked Yes | 35c | 62.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…57e9backed Yes | 33c | 32.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois?this page
- Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk?No won
- Will the match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Stade Brestois end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.