NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x071751c62cbb753acea890292357d3fe12fc42c26f82a7ecbb413ca318a968e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 24,698$18,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,357.8 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hawks | 23c | 21,716$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,702.09 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 24c | 15,030$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,452.45 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Hawks | 46c | 12,120$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,598.31 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 60c | 11,392$6,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,812.75 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 28c | 10,988$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 37c | 10,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Hawks | 25c | 9,555$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,168.38 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 6,396$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.07 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hawks | 19c | 6,334$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.91 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 6,150$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,312.5 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 5,832$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.61 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 5,771$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.72 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…3e5fbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 5,195$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…ffffbacked Hawks | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 4,485$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.08 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 29c | 4,480$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.48 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Grizzlies | 75c | 4,196$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hawks | 43c | 3,797$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.9 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Hawks | 6c | 3,623$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.34 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Grizzlies | 72c | 3,356$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.71 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Grizzlies | 76c | 3,266$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Hawks | 24c | 3,143$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.43 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,002$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.08 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 2,671$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.43 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 75c | 2,502$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.79 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,213$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.54 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks | 23c | 1,957$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.84 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks | 27c | 1,920$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.81 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Hawks | 46c | 1,700$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 1,693$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 70c | 1,674$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.63 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Hawks | 27c | 1,584$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.45 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 78c | 1,483$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.32 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hawks | 48c | 1,483$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.14 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 25c | 1,330$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.59 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Grizzlies | 77c | 1,305$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 29c | 1,282$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Hawks | 39c | 1,260$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.32 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Grizzlies | 76c | 1,255$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Hawks | 25c | 1,236$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.05 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 3c | 1,214$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.7 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,127$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.95 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 61c | 1,029$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.58 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,005$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hawks | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Grizzlies | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Hawks | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Hawks | 24c | 998.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Hawks | 23c | 993.65$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.11 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…3ffabacked Hawks | 45c | 955.91$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies | 80c | 948$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.4 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 948$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.69 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Hawks | 25c | 940$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 900$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…eea6backed Grizzlies | 75c | 900$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 26c | 900$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…f7b9backed Hawks | 24c | 894.29$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 29c | 883$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.85 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 75c | 847.1$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.84 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Hawks | 42c | 816$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.45 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Hawks | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Hawks | 45c | 739.2$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.69 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Hawks | 31c | 709.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.68 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 9c | 701.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Grizzlies | 76c | 659.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 76c | 656$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.56 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Grizzlies | 75c | 647$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.25 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Hawks | 42c | 602.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Hawks | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…f8e6backed Grizzlies | 27c | 555$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 76c | 526$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.71 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Grizzlies | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Hawks | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 74c | 493.24$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.45 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Hawks | 49c | 459.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Hawks | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hawks | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Hawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Hawks | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 395.7$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Grizzlies | 74c | 385$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…2af2backed Hawks | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Grizzlies | 73c | 345.66$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…a6b7backed Hawks | 20c | 341.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 4c | 341$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.52 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Grizzlies | 72c | 336.21$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.07 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…4d29backed Grizzlies | 77c | 324.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…1d80backed Grizzlies | 74c | 324.32$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.