CS2 · resolved market
FISSURE Playground 1: Astralis vs. BetBoom
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82e181d804b43ab03d6d35f9f95632f71c854023422c9329d437398b4acdb90f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, BetBoom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…de82backed BetBoom | 8c | 11,378$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.45 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed BetBoom | 39c | 6,354$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Astralis | 61c | 6,041$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.2 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked BetBoom | 35c | 3,732$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.29 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astralis | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Astralis | 79c | 1,813$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.67 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed BetBoom | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed BetBoom | 17c | 1,333$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed BetBoom | 6c | 1,130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Astralis | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astralis | 65c | 735.71$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Astralis | 65c | 665.13$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Astralis | 65c | 544.62$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed BetBoom | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed BetBoom | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed BetBoom | 18c | 406.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Astralis | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Astralis | 78c | 213.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed BetBoom | 12c | 206.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astralis | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed BetBoom | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…511abacked Astralis | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astralis | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked Astralis | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Astralis | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed BetBoom | 13c | 139.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Astralis | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked BetBoom | 30c | 113.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed BetBoom | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked BetBoom | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Astralis | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed BetBoom | 39c | 60.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…5066backed Astralis | 65c | 55.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed BetBoom | 40c | 53.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Astralis | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…0f25backed Astralis | 65c | 25.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Astralis | 67c | 23.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Astralis | 66c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Astralis | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Astralis | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.