College Football · resolved market
Navy vs. East Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x528f0c798c848465413d5c1e12b087f9599b6629e38b6b8ba0f1c45dd368cd12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Navy, East Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Navy | 63c | 39,801$25,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,538.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed East Carolina | 4c | 11,085$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.82 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked East Carolina | 42c | 7,008$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.46 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed East Carolina | 1c | 4,448$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked East Carolina | 62c | 3,584$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed East Carolina | 46c | 1,639$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.83 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed East Carolina | 54c | 1,166$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Navy | 46c | 1,127$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.88 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed Navy | 65c | 1,026$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed East Carolina | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Navy | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Navy | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Navy | 44c | 920.91$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.91 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed East Carolina | 52c | 827.08$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Navy | 46c | 771.74$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Navy | 65c | 665.33$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Navy | 44c | 498.38$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked East Carolina | 8c | 488.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked East Carolina | 35c | 444$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Navy | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed East Carolina | 19c | 400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Navy | 66c | 372.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Navy | 46c | 328.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed East Carolina | 50c | 268.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…4f74backed East Carolina | 64c | 265.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed East Carolina | 57c | 252.6$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed East Carolina | 53c | 191$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Navy | 53c | 171.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed East Carolina | 32c | 167.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Navy | 48c | 119.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Navy | 47c | 118.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked East Carolina | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5911backed Navy | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Navy | 47c | 105.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…1918backed East Carolina | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed East Carolina | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed East Carolina | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Navy | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked East Carolina | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Navy | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed East Carolina | 62c | 80.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed East Carolina | 55c | 70.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked East Carolina | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed East Carolina | 53c | 50.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Navy | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Navy | 46c | 49.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1f…ab5bbacked Navy | 45c | 44.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…5305backed East Carolina | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…0236backed Navy | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed East Carolina | 57c | 18.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.