College Football · resolved market
Toledo vs. Akron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03f13d962c00d130aa7e12cbc896136ee0c0baad40ba56cd6fc542b6c35ac13c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akronof Toledo, Akron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Akron | 50c | 14,143$7,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,111.07 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Toledo | 79c | 10,903$8,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,567.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Toledo | 0c | 5,625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Toledo | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Akron | 22c | 2,788$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.72 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Toledo | 64c | 2,000$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.11 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Akron | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Toledo | 42c | 1,681$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Toledo | 77c | 1,647$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Toledo | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Akron | 16c | 1,473$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.64 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Akron | 24c | 999.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Akron | 18c | 903.09$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Toledo | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…44c6backed Akron | 27c | 774.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Toledo | 73c | 734.79$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Akron | 28c | 631.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.07 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…3948backed Akron | 34c | 580.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Toledo | 53c | 524.83$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Akron | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Akron | 25c | 419.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Akron | 45c | 400$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Toledo | 47c | 320.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Toledo | 32c | 308.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…28b8backed Toledo | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Akron | 24c | 216.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Toledo | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Toledo | 66c | 198.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…4f74backed Toledo | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…e7bebacked Toledo | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2462…3f8dbacked Akron | 45c | 156.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Akron | 60c | 150.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…eb89backed Toledo | 76c | 146.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb801…9c97backed Toledo | 75c | 139.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Toledo | 59c | 131.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Toledo | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Toledo | 77c | 129.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…ba36backed Akron | 25c | 111.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2360backed Toledo | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Toledo | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193c…5b89backed Akron | 27c | 99.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Akron | 55c | 92.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Toledo | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Toledo | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Toledo | 71c | 85.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Toledo | 41c | 72.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…eec7backed Akron | 25c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Akron | 22c | 65.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Toledo | 55c | 65.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Akron | 26c | 53.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Akron | 77c | 51.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Toledo | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Akron | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b4…8b72backed Akron | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Toledo | 60c | 48.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Akron | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20af…efadbacked Akron | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…afc5backed Toledo | 68c | 42.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…f07dbacked Akron | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…bd2fbacked Toledo | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Toledo | 73c | 39.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…701cbacked Toledo | 76c | 39.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Akron | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Toledo | 71c | 36.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c31…5f1bbacked Akron | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Toledo | 80c | 30.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Akron | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Akron | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…edecbacked Toledo | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Toledo | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…d390backed Toledo | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…ef81backed Toledo | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Toledo | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…001bbacked Toledo | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…d0f6backed Toledo | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Toledo | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Toledo | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…f385backed Toledo | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcd…1bf4backed Toledo | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Toledo | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…40d8backed Toledo | 75c | 14.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.