MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7f611c0ea568037114823716f98b9800b8a3e1ede6c41645bc3fd3e7296925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Los Angeles Angels, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 18,088$11,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,397.7 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 12,115$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,638.42 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 11,453$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,101$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 606.12$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.12 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 537.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 437.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 405$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 296.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.43 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 252.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 210.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 199.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 193.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 103.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 84.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 58.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.