Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a96fbbd3ddb902586e3b0f194ff666aca0ffdb89905289dca71b216b3c5b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 4,360$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.04 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.71 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 68c | 1,486$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 66c | 551.18$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.34 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 19c | 323$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 37c | 191.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 35c | 138.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Under | 66c | 125.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Under | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 64c | 95.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 35c | 92.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 36c | 85.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Under | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 66c | 69.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Over | 36c | 63.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 34c | 59.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…0c7ebacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 35c | 46.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…fd87backed Over | 30c | 45.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 30c | 40.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 34c | 32.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 37c | 29.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 64c | 16.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- US Lecce vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.