Champions League · resolved market
Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea69b7800e04e232f8bdb25348d14b897fb4b0de3ebda9bdb45e2e9f16dd1c53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 10c | 2,042$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed No | 59c | 508.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 58c | 199.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…8168backed No | 59c | 157.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 40c | 131.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 124.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 41c | 99.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 44c | 90.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Yes | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 71c | 68.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 58c | 46.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 79c | 45.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: The New Saints FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)The New Saints FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.