Champions League · resolved market
Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7d511dddb1d72f0be53d89d8585199aed418df314808f7a4616467991b343a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 59c | 8,847$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.82 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 4,480$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.16 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 3,931$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.66 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 53c | 2,330$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Over | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,223$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.68 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 1,118$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.52 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 40c | 971$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.4 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 932.03$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.22 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 37c | 760.91$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.46 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 55c | 743.93$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.88 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 483.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.47 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 66c | 370.41$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.47 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 13c | 361.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 260.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 66c | 206$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 65c | 201$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 197.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 46c | 191.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 35c | 138.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 39c | 132.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 58c | 131.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 98.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Under | 39c | 96.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 42c | 92.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 85.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 39c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 60c | 61.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 25c | 61.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 33c | 50.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…2ffbbacked Over | 52c | 35.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked Over | 58c | 34.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 60c | 33.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 38c | 31.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 31.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 65c | 16.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: The New Saints FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)The New Saints FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.