Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b8bef89d3e341d05f165077d2face203cdac4d47f8c75c4407c632bd2358e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The New Saints FCof Sabah FK, The New Saints FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed The New Saints FC | 78c | 3,018$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.57 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sabah FK | 15c | 2,652$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.01 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sabah FK | 41c | 1,453$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.22 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed The New Saints FC | 61c | 1,057$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.81 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Sabah FK | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Sabah FK | 26c | 618.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed The New Saints FC | 59c | 423$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sabah FK | 26c | 313$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed The New Saints FC | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sabah FK | 33c | 116.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sabah FK | 40c | 114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed The New Saints FC | 64c | 102.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sabah FK | 14c | 102.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sabah FK | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Sabah FK | 33c | 96.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Sabah FK | 24c | 94.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Sabah FK | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked The New Saints FC | 72c | 82.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sabah FK | 29c | 79.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked The New Saints FC | 72c | 72.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked The New Saints FC | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sabah FK | 34c | 57.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed The New Saints FC | 73c | 56.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The New Saints FC | 61c | 54.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed The New Saints FC | 76c | 52.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sabah FK | 27c | 44.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked The New Saints FC | 67c | 42.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed The New Saints FC | 71c | 42.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed The New Saints FC | 64c | 30.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed The New Saints FC | 72c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked The New Saints FC | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)this page
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: The New Saints FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Sabah FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.