Champions League · resolved market
Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Sabah FK O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3fa042a06dcc6b39414cf5a16fbcdbd2962df4ef0124572cb77bf2443df2c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 1,938$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.9 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,285$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.32 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 520.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.52 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 414.57$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 286.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 47c | 211.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 54c | 168$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 109.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 40.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 51c | 36.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 52c | 20.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Sabah FK O/U 2.5this page
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: The New Saints FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)The New Saints FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.