Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32fbf35149fa414490247210073211f7802690c94bdbf797e8e452069c0023f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabah FKof Sabah FK, The New Saints FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sabah FK | 51c | 18,400$9,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,057.47 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked The New Saints FC | 48c | 8,805$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.06 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed The New Saints FC | 54c | 7,253$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.84 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed The New Saints FC | 51c | 4,257$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.08 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…952fbacked Sabah FK | 50c | 3,250$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sabah FK | 46c | 2,786$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.96 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked The New Saints FC | 53c | 2,000$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.97 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed The New Saints FC | 47c | 1,763$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.74 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed The New Saints FC | 48c | 1,269$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed The New Saints FC | 48c | 1,013$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.38 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Sabah FK | 58c | 900$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed The New Saints FC | 43c | 816.84$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed The New Saints FC | 53c | 609.07$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed The New Saints FC | 48c | 605.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Sabah FK | 57c | 585$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sabah FK | 62c | 472.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Sabah FK | 50c | 317$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Sabah FK | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed The New Saints FC | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Sabah FK | 44c | 278.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sabah FK | 55c | 274.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Sabah FK | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked The New Saints FC | 53c | 218.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sabah FK | 58c | 215.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked The New Saints FC | 50c | 190.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed The New Saints FC | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Sabah FK | 55c | 180.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed The New Saints FC | 52c | 166$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed The New Saints FC | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Sabah FK | 46c | 126.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked The New Saints FC | 37c | 124.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed The New Saints FC | 45c | 119$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed The New Saints FC | 46c | 117.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Sabah FK | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Sabah FK | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Sabah FK | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Sabah FK | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed The New Saints FC | 52c | 87.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked The New Saints FC | 48c | 72.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked The New Saints FC | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Sabah FK | 62c | 64.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Sabah FK | 55c | 49.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sabah FK | 57c | 49.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked The New Saints FC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sabah FK | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Sabah FK | 57c | 42.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed The New Saints FC | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed The New Saints FC | 37c | 34.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Sabah FK | 46c | 34.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sabah FK | 61c | 31.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Sabah FK | 56c | 31.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed The New Saints FC | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed The New Saints FC | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed The New Saints FC | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sabah FK | 56c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Sabah FK | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed The New Saints FC | 54c | 23.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed The New Saints FC | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked The New Saints FC | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)this page
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: The New Saints FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)The New Saints FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.