Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc5d69d0163aa22b7b87a95a7554a0f376b7d32dbde642b72b338d28f3fb34b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 43c | 1,781$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 797.72$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.97 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 544.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 58c | 444$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 326$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 41c | 225$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Over | 41c | 146.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 114.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 109.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 47c | 45.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 55c | 31.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 57c | 17.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.