Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabacb8b03b919741b4f2accba6f7135c504d26e5003dc693a927e665e3bfea73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 44c | 24,986$10,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,993.66 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…eadbbacked Yes | 57c | 5,512$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 4,066$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.61 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,520$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.14 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 68c | 513.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 452.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 53c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 56c | 355.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 57c | 277.09$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…59b1backed Yes | 41c | 245.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 226$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 10c | 208.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 18cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 204.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 39c | 191.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 43c | 179.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Yes | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…7ddabacked Yes | 63c | 101.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Yes | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 44c | 84.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 43c | 82.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 48c | 38.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 47c | 31.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 42c | 28.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed No | 47c | 27.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.