South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a64286990013f7960d9ebb946f17f10dc75ddc1e54ebf10f86b735625658bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 39c | 14,251$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.79 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…caf4backed Yes | 61c | 4,574$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…76abbacked No | 39c | 4,567$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 2,785$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 62c | 1,622$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 14c | 1,585$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 20c | 1,240$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 5c | 1,099$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 62c | 824.19$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.96 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 61c | 557.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 37c | 525$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 423.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 35c | 359.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 40c | 334.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.29 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 36c | 251.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 26c | 247$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…15c0backed No | 45c | 186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 185.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 37c | 114.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 39c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 64c | 108.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed No | 40c | 96.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 70c | 83.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 59c | 76.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 72.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 58c | 69.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 40c | 50.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…12d4backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…6a1dbacked Yes | 63c | 35.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…a765backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 37c | 27.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…96dbbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f8…148fbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…fb30backed Yes | 63c | 22.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.