Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c256a41adadf1b965fbe153773d183b1d0a9c268a111e1a384825a0890a749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolvesof Aston Villa, Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wolves | 60c | 157,498$94,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,795.57 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Aston Villa | 40c | 147,000$58,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,800 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Aston Villa | 40c | 5,501$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.72 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wolves | 62c | 5,171$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Aston Villa | 36c | 4,355$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.43 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…e220backed Aston Villa | 40c | 3,499$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wolves | 61c | 1,954$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.93 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Aston Villa | 31c | 1,100$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.79 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wolves | 71c | 1,067$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Wolves | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aston Villa | 20c | 930$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wolves | 60c | 891.22$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.48 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Wolves | 60c | 888$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Aston Villa | 40c | 865$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Aston Villa | 41c | 600$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wolves | 61c | 406.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Wolves | 62c | 405$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Aston Villa | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Aston Villa | 35c | 313$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wolves | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Aston Villa | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wolves | 61c | 276.52$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Aston Villa | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Aston Villa | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…bfb4backed Aston Villa | 41c | 180.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Aston Villa | 41c | 147.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Aston Villa | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Aston Villa | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wolves | 61c | 122.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Wolves | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Aston Villa | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Aston Villa | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Aston Villa | 40c | 100.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Aston Villa | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Wolves | 61c | 79.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked Aston Villa | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Aston Villa | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…c10abacked Aston Villa | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…8ac6backed Aston Villa | 31c | 66.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Aston Villa | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Wolves | 63c | 55.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Aston Villa | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Aston Villa | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Aston Villa | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…0e65backed Aston Villa | 39c | 50.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Wolves | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Aston Villa | 40c | 48.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Wolves | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Aston Villa | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Aston Villa | 39c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Aston Villa | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Aston Villa | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Wolves | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Wolves | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Aston Villa | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Aston Villa | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Aston Villa | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Aston Villa | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Wolves | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Aston Villa | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Wolves | 66c | 27.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Wolves | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…c13bbacked Aston Villa | 40c | 25.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Aston Villa | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…9f7fbacked Aston Villa | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Wolves | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Wolves | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Wolves | 63c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…3d54backed Wolves | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5)this page
- Aston Villa vs. Wolves: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa vs. Wolves: O/U 1.5Under won
- Aston Villa vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa vs. Wolves: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.