Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620f25af1801f58cb7fe0523fc7a5bcbbb167beba553d555c7e7b4dc40b25414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 2,352$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.22 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,510$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,454$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.92 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 53c | 940.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 532$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.52 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 38c | 360$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.75 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 51c | 232.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Yes | 51c | 114.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 48c | 109.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 54c | 46.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 54c | 40.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.